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    Embrace Your Future as an I-Wheel Facilitator

    Become a certified I-Wheel Facilitator

    Are you familiar with the work of Joel Barker and his transformative approach to foresight? You’ll be excited to learn about Joel Barker’s Implications Wheel® — an innovative tool for exploring the implications of possible future scenarios. Read on to discover why becoming an I-Wheel facilitator could be a game-changer for your career and improve your organizational resilience.

    What Is the I-Wheel?

    I-Wheel (Implications Wheel®) is a sophisticated, software-enhanced process designed to help groups map out the potential consequences of various changes. New innovations, emerging trends, mergers, regulations, strategic objectives, or unforeseen events, the I-Wheel tool helps you navigate the complex landscape of the future. Using structured discussions, Joel’s I-Wheel process explores first and second-order implications and reveals unseen connections.

    Who Should Become an I-Wheel Facilitator?

    1. Strategic Planners: Developing or Seasoned strategists involved in setting long-term goals and strategies for your organization. The I-Wheel can enhance your ability to foresee and plan for future scenarios.
    2. Consultants: The I-Wheel is a powerful tool to offer clients deeper insights and actionable foresight, enhancing the value of your consultancy services.
    3. Leaders in Innovation and R&D: Responsible for driving innovation within your organization? You will find the I-Wheel invaluable for anticipating market shifts and technological advancements.

    Existing Organizational Users

    1. Corporate Strategy Teams: Teams in sectors like manufacturing, retail, and energy use the I-Wheel to anticipate market changes and develop robust strategies.
    2. Religious and Community Organizations: Catholic, Jewish, Methodist, and other religious institutions have already used it for strategic planning addressing social issues.
    3. Educational and Social Issue Advocates: Schools and organizations tackling issues like climate change, substance abuse, and diversity have successfully employed the I-Wheel to navigate complex challenges.

    Top Benefits Reported by I-Wheel Users

    1. Over-the-Horizon Foresight: An inclusive tool helps surface possible futures and uncover implications unnoticed by superficial insight tools. A forward-thinking approach could help you with your competitive advantage.
    2. Inclusive and Collaborative: Joel Barker’s Implications wheel process ensures that every participant’s voice is heard. It creates a setting for diverse opinions to contribute to a richer understanding of future possibilities.
    3. Actionable Insights: A clear, easy-to-read map of strategic foresights and pathways, enables your team to make informed decisions. The outcome is a tool to design effective strategies.

    Why Join the I-Wheel Facilitator Training?

    • Future-focused Decision-Making: By mapping the potential consequences of change, you can minimize negative impacts and maximize positive outcomes.
    • Strategic Foresights: Gain deeper insights into the connections between today’s actions and tomorrow’s possibilities.
    • Professional Growth: Supercharge your skills in strategic foresight and join a network of forward-thinking professionals.

    How to Get Started

    Ready to become a scout for the future? Explore Joel Barker’s facilitator training program. Discover how you can lead your team or organization toward a more impactful future. Visit the I-Wheel website to watch an introductory video from Joel Barker. Learn more about the I-Wheel and its applications.

    Picture of Joel Barker and the pattern of I-wheel
    Joel Barker

    Connect with Us

    Connect with Joel Barker on LinkedIn. Unlock your potential to deploy strategic foresight and help your organization navigate the future with confidence. Embrace Your Future with Joel’s Implications Wheel Facilitator Training.

    For more information visit his website.

    Fighting the Night: Iwo Jima, World War II, and a Flyer’s Life

    Paul Hendrickson’s Fighting the Night tackles a question that obsessed so many of my boomer contemporaries: “What did you do during The War, Daddy?”

    But this isn’t a reference to the 1966 movie of the same name. 

    As Washington Post columnist David Von Drehle states on the book jacket, this is “a son’s quest to know—really know—his father.”   

    The desire for Paul Hendrickson to understand his father was the driving force behind this narrative—a balanced blend of memoir, biography and history of his father’s unit, the 549th Night Fighter Squadron.

    Joe Paul Henderson (center) with his crew from the Rita B–Jack Kerr (l) and Leo E. Vough (r) (Courtesy Paul Henderson)

    Combining these elements was no mean feat. 

    The author’s father, Joe Paul Hendrickson, didn’t share a great deal about his emotional life and his hard scrabble, Depression-era, Kentucky childhood with others. Likewise, he didn’t talk a lot about his wartime service, piloting the fabled “Black Widow” P-61 aircraft in Iwo Jima during the end of the Second World War.  

    Journalists strive to be unflinchingly honest and accurate. It’s in their DNA. However, this becomes infinitely more challenging when the subject is your family, warts and all.  

    Paul Henderson is a Senior Lecturer at the University of Pennsylvania (Courtesy Paul Henderson)

    Mr. Hendrickson, a former Washington Post reporter and author of the 2011 New York Timesbest seller, “Hemingway’s Boat: Everything He Loved in Life, and Lost,” does a superb job of incorporating these sometimes-colliding themes by drawing on a lifetime of reporting chops, unremitting research and a Solomonic evenhandedness.   

    The core of the book dwells on the wartime experiences of Joe Paul Hendrickson, but don’t expect tales of dogfights and aerial acrobatics. There is genuine heroism and derring-do, but this is no hagiography. Readers get to bear witness to the demanding life of an Army Air Force pilot, crisscrossing the country (often with his wife and two young children) from air bases ranging from Hammer Field in Fresno to Kipapa Airfield on Oahu.

    We learn a great deal about the nuances of the twin-engine Black Widow aircraft, designed specifically for night fighting—hence the name of the book. However, flying state-of-the art airplanes is only part of the story. 

    DAYTON, Ohio — Northrop P-61C Black Widow at the National Museum of the United States Air Force. (U.S. Air Force photo)

    Once ensconced in Iwo Jima, the author recounts an episode called “the raid.” This was a murderous nighttime attack by Japanese soldiers on the 549th compound, which included rolling hand grenades into the tents of sleeping soldiers. The author’s father was spared, but the attack resulted in the death of six of his comrades. 

    This realm of nightmarish memories was the last thing veterans wanted to revisit after their service and Joe Paul was no exception. Paul Hendrickson reminds us of the psychological toll that these kinds of experiences had on his dad, and ultimately his behavior as a father.

    In addition to reminiscences about his family, the author reconstructs, as much as possible, the lives of his dad’s colleagues—the men portrayed in the black and white photos, outfitted in leather flight jackets, kneeling in front of airplanes.

    One of the more poignant vignettes was the “All American Life and Mysterious Death of Larry Garland.” Garland was Joe Paul’s friend, a fellow Kentuckian, and the best pilot in the 549th Night Fighter Squadron. Larry’s Black Widow disappeared into the Iwo Jima night just a few weeks before the war’s end. We discover there’s a great deal more to Captain Garland than his sterling academic records and yellowed newspaper articles describing his football field heroics would reveal.

    Captain Garland and his fellow crew members aboard that ill-fated Black Widow were never able to fulfill their futures, but somehow Joe Paul Hendrickson made it back alive.

    If you visit Punchbowl, stroll over to Court Seven at the Courts of the Missing. You’ll find Larry Garland’s name (second from the top) etched in marble. (photo Rob Kay)

    If you visit Punchbowl this weekend, I encourage you to go to Court Seven at the Courts of the Missing, at the National Memorial Cemetery of the Pacific. There you will see the names of those men, engraved in marble: Larry Garland, John Hendrix and Milt Gillespie.

    We’re reminded that so much of circumstances in war and ordinary life, for that matter, are dependent on luck and as the author says, the “awful randomness of chance.”

    Thank you, Paul Hendrickson, for a remarkable book

    Rob Kay, a Honolulu-based writer and Star Advertiser columnist, is the creator of fijiguide.com. He can be reached at Robertfredkay@ gmail.com.

    Moanalua High School air riflery team shoots for national championship

    Thanks to Hawaii News Now for this story–The Moanalua Air Riflery team is coming off a historic performance at the Civilian Marksmanship Program Regional Competition. They’re preparing for nationals. The team then competed in the Western Regional Championships in Utah, where they placed second, the highest in school history.

    Top photo courtesy of CMP

    GET exemption could be turning point in Hawaii healthcare crisis

    By Keli‘i Akina

    For years, doctors have been practically begging legislators for an exemption to the state general excise tax for medical services. And for just as long, some people have responded by asking why we are so concerned with the profitability of doctors.

    To this, I have two responses.

    First, and most important, if we want to help patients, we need to have doctors available to treat them.

    Second, doctors are the ones who are ultimately responsible for paying the tax, so the language of any exemption has to focus on them.

    Keli’i Akina

    This year, the Legislature finally listened to their pleas and passed SB1035. If enacted by Gov. Josh Green, the bill, starting in 2026, will exempt from the state general excise tax payments made to doctors and dentists by Medicare, Medicaid and TRICARE.

    This will be great for Hawaii doctors, but even better, it will help Hawaii patients.

    Hawaii radiologist Dr. Scott Grosskreutz, founder of the Hawaii Physician Shortage Task Force, told me this week that the passage of a GET tax exemption for Medicare, Medicaid and TRICARE is “great news for patients in these federal insurance programs.”

    The GET exemption, he said, “will mean that more doctors, dentists and nurses can be recruited and retained to provide care in Hawaii in the future. So mahalo to our lawmakers, especially Sens. Lorraine Inouye and Joy San Buenaventura, for passing this legislation.”

    Meanwhile, until the bill is actually signed into law, Hawaii remains the only state taxing Medicare, Medicaid and TRICARE payments for medical and dental services.

    As my colleague Malia Hill explained in a Grassroot Institute of Hawaii policy brief issued last year, the tax puts Hawaii doctors in a difficult position. Since they are prohibited from passing on the tax to their patients, they must either pay the tax themselves and hope that lower profitability will not force them to close their practices, or avoid taking on Medicare and Medicaid patients completely — something that is both difficult and undesirable to do, especially in rural areas where patients already have limited options.

    For instance, Jason Ching, CEO of Oahu Pediatric Dentistry, said in testimony in support of SB1035 that he tax “not only imposes an unjust burden on those committed to serving the community, but also contributes to the dwindling number of private practitioners able to afford care for Medicaid, Medicare and TRICARE patients.”

    He said his dental practice “dedicates 40% of its services to Medicaid beneficiaries,” and the “financial strain of the GET, combined with the low Medicaid reimbursement rates” has made his practice “increasingly unsustainable.”

    Assuming the bill becomes law, SB1035 will go far toward mitigating this problem.

    Dr. Grosskreutz emphasized there still are improvements needed to increase healthcare access in Hawaii, but enactment of the GET exemption is an important step toward that goal.

    I am hoping that Gov. Green, who is a doctor himself, will sign SB1035 soon.

    Looking ahead, my Grassroot colleagues are researching other policy ideas that could further improve healthcare in Hawaii.

    Many challenges remain, but we can meet them with the same spirit of cooperation that resulted in the Legislature’s passage of the GET exemption.
    ___________

    This commentary was Keli‘i Akina’s weekly “President’s Corner” column for May 18, 2024. If you would like to have his columns emailed to you on a regular basis, please call 808-864-1776 or email info@grassrootinstitute.org.

    Administrative Directives, Part 1

    While our legislature has been hard at work, and we at the Tax Foundation of Hawaii also have been striving to keep up with legislative bills affecting tax and public finance, the Foundation also has been working and fighting on another battleground.

    In the Hawaii Department of Taxation‘s annual report, some passages refer to a class of documents called “administrative directives” (ADs).  These documents are directions from the Director of Taxation to staff.  Often, they tell staff that the tax laws are to be applied in a particular way.  The Department also publishes other documents, like Tax Information Releases and Department of Taxation Announcements, that also interpret the laws.  The difference between these documents and ADs is that ADs are for “Internal Use” and are not supposed to be disclosed to the public.

    In the late 1980’s, however, Hawaii adopted public records laws saying, among other things, that interpretations of law that are adopted by an agency must be made public.  There is to be no “secret law.”  An interpretation for the goose also must be made for the gander, in other words.

    So, in May 2023 the Foundation went to the department with a public records request asking the Department to fork over all of their ADs.  We went back-and-forth with them for about a year and, early in May, the department stated that it was producing 11 of these directives and wouldn’t give us anymore.

    The first question in our mind was whether the Department withheld records and had not told us about it.  For various reasons, we think that’s what happened, and we are pursuing a remedy with the state office of information practices.

    How do we know that there are documents missing? There are several indications.  First, just like Tax Information Releases and Department of Taxation Announcements, ADs are serially numbered by year.  For example, the first AD in 1990 would be 1990-01, then 1990-02, and so forth.  The Department produced AD 1982-54 and didn’t produce any other ADs from 1982.  So, we have to wonder what happened to the other 53 directives that preceded 1982-54.

    Also, several of the directives reference others. AD 2021-02 states on page 1 that it supersedes ADs 2012-02, 2012-03, and 2013-01.  But the Department didn’t cough up either AD 2012-02, 2012-03, or 2013-01.

    Against this, we expect the department to argue that it doesn’t have to produce ADs that are no longer “current,” whatever that means.  But the public records laws don’t allow agencies to suppress documents based on “what’s hot and what’s not.”  If a document contains an interpretation of law that the Department then adopted, that document needs to be published, period, even if the Department never cites it again.  Next, the Department often audits taxpayers going back several years.  Suppose a couple’s 2021 tax return is being audited in 2024.  The calculation on their return was based on a 2020 Tax Information Release.  Would it be fair for the Department to say in 2024 that it changed its mind, depublish the 2020 Release, and then penalize the couple for having nothing to cite in support of their 2021 return?  I’m not saying that the Department is actually doing that, but if you look on their website at the list of Tax Information Releases and Department of Taxation Announcements you can see several marked “Obsolete” that are no longer clickable.  Those documents have important historical significance and shouldn’t be removed from view simply because someone in a later tax administration decides that they don’t like them anymore.

    Next week we will go over what one of these ADs actually says.

    Digital Nomad travel gear review – getting packed

    Choosing a Travel Backpack and Roller bag

    Editor’s Note: Getting all your belongings from Point A to Point B is the subject of this posting. The first step is to pick the right backpack and roller bag. In this article our travel editor, Rob Kay, reviews gear and discusses the merits of bringing all your items in the cabin vs. checking them in.

    For my two-month long digital nomad European odyssey I used a Rolling Contingency Duffel from VERTX which makes military grade packs (and clothing). It’s a very solid piece of gear that can be separated to create two bags. Combined, its dimensions are 22” x 13.5” x 12.5” making it too big to stash in an overhead bin. So, this bag had to be checked in. (In retrospect, this was not the ideal roll-on luggage).

    The Vertx Roller bag is a robust product but it won't  fit in the overhead bin.
    The Vertx Roller bag is a solid item but a bit too big for the overhead bin. You’ll need to check it in.

    The upshot? Ideally, as a nomad, you’ll want to bring everything with you into the cabin.

    To do that, you’ll need a (22” x 14” x 9”) roll-on bag, place it in the overhead bin and, combine that with a backpack that can fit under a seat.

    What type of roll-on to invest in? There is a plethora to choose from. You can go to Wirecutter , Consumer Reports, or “influencers” out there for advice.

    Another way to go, if you want to eschew the roll-on bag, is to simply get a large enough backpack that will fit in the overhead bin. (More on that later).

    The right travel backpack

    A good mid-sized travel backpack (not to be confused with a daypack) can work ideally with a roll-on.

    The Peak Design 30L travel backpack has a pocket for your laptop
    There’s a pocket on the 30L travel backpack for your laptop (and in my case) my tablet.

    My choice was the 30L Travel Backpack ($229) from Peak Design. This item was recommended to me by Dennis Callan, a respected Honolulu travel video maker who swore by the product. It complemented the roll-on perfectly.

    To be honest, I treated it rather ruthlessly, often picking it up with one strap. I was mildly concerned that the strap might rip off (because of the weight–around 25 lbs) but it proved to be steadfast.

    It fit perfectly in the overhead bin on the aircraft but is designed to fit under an airline seat.

    Why is this noteworthy?

    If you have a roll-on that that goes into the overhead bin, the protocol is that you’ll need to place the other bag under the seat in front of you. Mine did not fit under the seat. It wasn’t a matter of design, it’s just that I had unzipped the expansion zips and filled it to capacity.

    Thus, you must be discriminating using the expansion zips if you’re going to fit it under the seat. Given that I could keep the pack in the overhead bin, it wasn’t an issue. Had I brought a roll-on into the cabin, it would have been an issue.

    I used the 30L bag to stash my tech/computer gear, a camera, shoes, and my toiletry bag. (It has a special deep pocket for a laptop and tablet).

    The 30L travel backpack can fit the  tech, wash, shoe and shoe pouches as well as my day pack.
    The tech, wash, shoe and shoe pouches fit neatly in the 30L travel backpack. I managed to squeeze in the Matador day pack as well (lower left corner). (photo Rob Kay)

    There was also a smaller, zippered, pocket at the top of the bag to keep items such as your passport, keys, etc.

    The tech gear, the shoes and toiletry (wash) items all had special pouches, also manufactured by Peak Design. As expected, they fit perfectly in the 30L pack which is of course, designed by the same company.

    I really liked the idea of the pouches. They are made from the same heavy-duty nylon material as the bag. Just as importantly, they allowed me to pack systematically. The tech and wash pouches cost $59.95. The shoe bag was $24. (Occasionally they do have sales, for example Black Friday) so check out the site for more info).

    I also liked the luggage pass-through strap for roller bag carry. This allows you to slip the bag through the handle which comes in handy for short bursts. Generally I found that if I had to walk any appreciable distance, it was easier just to put the backpack on my back.

    Atop the 30L Peak Design 30L travel backpack is a pocket for your passport, keys, etc
    There’s a nifty little pocket for your passport, keys, etc atop the 30L Peak Design travel backpack (photo Rob Kay)

    The other features were:

    1. Expandable side pockets for water bottles, etc. (I’d sometimes stuff my raincoat in a side pocket)
    2. Internal zippered mesh pockets
    3. Theft deterrent zipper pulls and zippered pockets

    This bag has a hip belt, but I found I didn’t use it that much.

    All told, this was as nearly an ideal product as one could want, but there were a couple of improvements I might suggest. The straps might be padded a bit more and the side pockets for the water bottle could be designed a bit deeper. My water bottle popped out a couple of times.

    The Peak Design wash pouch can carry all your essentials and is super strong
    The wash pouch from Peak Design kept me organized

    Matador Day pack

    Any digital nomad must have a day pack. Mine was the Freerain22 Waterproof Packable 22L from Matador ($99.95).

    Matador is employee-owned company that makes a variety of packs and other outdoor gear for mountaineering and travel. You can carry ice axes with this one if you like. I didn’t use it for that purpose, but I did use it on hikes high in the Pyrenees and more recently in Asia.

    It’s light and extremely strong. You either stuff it into roll-up type of bag or flatten it out and place it in your luggage without sacrificing space.

    The Freerain22 Waterproof Packable 22L day bag is strong enough to carry your groceries, your computer and much more.
    The Freerain22 Waterproof Packable 22L day bag was perfect for my purposes and didn’t take up much room in the luggage. I took it on a recent mission to East Timor.

    More often it served as an EDC pack in the city or for day hikes. I used it on mountain trails ranging from Cerdanya to East Timor. It got a lot of use around town.

    The Matador day pack came with a padded computer pouch, which was quite useful because I often carried my computer around. In addition stuffed snacks, my rain jacket, my computer, and the mammoth Anker charging battery in there, lest I run out of juice for my phone. I liked the way it can put bundled and efficiently packed in a larger bag. Or, if you’re too lazy to do that, you can simply place it on top of your luggage.

    The Matador Freerain 22L daypack makes a great shopping bag. Here’s what I picked up at a grocery store in Dili, the capital of East Timor (Rob Kay photo)

    One thing I really liked was it’s robust construction. I loaded it with a bunch of groceries at a grocery store and it worked great hauling items such as Indonesian beer (Bingtang). I really can’t think of any way I could improve on it.

    Packing Cubes

    Organization, as I alluded to above, is key. (This is especially true for yours truly, who is not always the best organized guy in town). With this in mind, I suggest using packing cubes (from Peak Design) which fit neatly on my roll-on. (They are pictured above, in the foreground).

    This was the first time I used them, and it really helped the cause. You can readily keep track of exactly what you have. A lot of people manufacture them, but I stuck with Peak Design’s which according to the reviews, are as good as anyone’s. In case anyone is wondering, used them–one each–for my pants and shirts. Prices start at $29.95 for the small cube.

    Lessons learnedget a bigger travel backpack and a smaller roller bag

    To reiterate, a true digital nomad does not want to check bags in, so in future trips I’d either get a bigger backpack (that could still fit into an overhead locker) such as a 45L travel backpack from Peak Design or Matador or, a roller bag combined with a smaller pack that will fit under an airline seat.

    Lost Youth, Lost Cartilage: Getting Older is Not 75% Pain-Free

    I opened my inbox to this header yesterday morning: “pain-free joints”.  It was another one of those cheap ad copies trying to sell a miracle cure. The sub-heading read: “Regrow cartilage by 51% in days…” The ellipsis points – indicating that the people writing this, overwhelmed by the magnitude of their discovery, were at a loss for words – were followed by the breathless claim that, “THIS harmless joint “acid” reduces pain by 75%!”

    Wait a minute, I thought. First of all, how did you know, you anonymous online junkmailers? How the hell did you know about my pain-shackled joints, those knees that have lost most of their grisly padding, that sweet sweet cartilage that in my prelapsarian youth, had kept me bouncing around a court or field or pitch with nary a hint of the pain hovering on the horizon? I thought that was MY secret, the kind of information people at the three-quarter mark of their lives reveal to their partners and complain about to their doctors, or vice-versa. Who told you about my knees, huh? Was it my doctor? Did he send you an email with my medical files attached, including those cloudy X-rays exposing my meatless knees for what they had become: cartilage-free, bone-on-bone mush? Or maybe my wife, fed up with my endless whining, sent my personal data to an Internet marketer. I couldn’t really blame her if she did.

    No, I thought as the paranoia drained away and reason settled in. Cookies – leaving crumbs that led all the way to my inbox – that’s what did it. Once I typed the phrase “knee pain” into my search engine, I was opening myself up to this deluge of exuberant promises to magically return my knees to their tennis backhand-lunging days. 

    Sure, I’d love to regrow all that worn-away cartilage back but give me better odds please. And how did they (whoever they were) come up with that figure, 51%? Where did they find that one extra percent, dangling there just over the halfway mark like a bright orange carrot? I mean, why not 52%, since I’m still sitting on the fence at 51%? They (?) could have had me at 52%, but they blew it. A 51% regrowth of my cartilage won’t get me back to tennis lunging the way 52%, or even 53% might. So no, I’m not buying it. And what’s with the “harmless joint acid”? Either we’re talking some kind of drug deal ( does this “acid” hallucinate me out of my pain? What’s in those “joints” anyway?) or this “acid” is like Hammerite Rust Remover that’ll leave me with no knees and still 25% of the pain. I did the math. If they had bumped up that number on the pain reduction front – say 80% or 90% – I might’ve gone down their rabbit hole.

    But I stopped reading the ad copy there, if only because the whole thing depressed me, the fraudulent-numbered pitch reminding me of my 68 year-old ailments, 68 being a true number and no imagined percentage. Ah sweet, dumb and blind, pain-free youth. It made me remember things about my body I’d forgotten. Running to catch a football… BEHIND MY BACK! (Note the ellipsis points, in this case the suspension indicating that what follows them is to be EMPHASIZED!!) Oh boy, in my boundless youth did I ever exploit those cartilage-stuffed knees. Playing third base for the Eureka Marines Little League baseball team in Oakland, I dove and leaped and chased after balls with such insouciance, as if I had a safe deposit box of cartilage in a bank that I could access at any time down the road. Oh as I was young and easy in the mercy of his means, time held me green and dying. Though I sang like the sea in my chains.

    Those last lines are from one of my all-time favorite poems on this theme of the mourning of lost youth, Fern Hill by Dylan Thomas. Each year that passes, each time I read it, the poem sings to me in a new key. Most of all I feel the emotion behind it. The sense of loss,of time passing and the remembrance of a youth and the shadow of a hand from the future passing over it. 

    The second stanza has all the saudade of a Portuguese fado.

    And as I was green and carefree, famous among the barns
    About the happy yard and singing as the farm was home,
         In the sun that is young once only,
              Time let me play and be
         Golden in the mercy of his means,
    And green and golden I was huntsman and herdsman, the calves
    Sang to my horn, the foxes on the hills barked clear and cold,
              And the sabbath rang slowly
         In the pebbles of the holy streams.

    Time let me play and be, Golden in the mercy of his means. We start out green and carefree, playing in a young-only-once sun on knees full of cartilage, but in the end we learn that it was only a temporary bargain, that Time is holding us “green and dying”. We may be singing like the sea in our chains, but let it be a glorious song, ever green and carefree, as we live.

    Big tax cut was legislative highlight, but killing tax hikes important too

    With so many great bills having been approved by the 2024 Legislature, it’s easy to forget that success also can be measured by the types of bills that were defeated.

    Yes, I am thrilled that my colleagues and I at the Grassroot Institute of Hawaii were able to help pass excellent legislation — such as Gov. Josh Green’s proposal to cut income tax payments for the median-income family of four by 69% and save Hawaii taxpayers in general about $5 billion by 2031.

    But I am happy that we played well on defense too, helping to defeat many measures that would have harmed Hawaii’s economy and added to our already high cost of living. These included numerous proposed tax hikes, such as the so-called carbon tax embodied in SB2525.

    Keli‘i Akina
    Keli‘i Akina

    Proponents of that tax tried to sweeten the deal with a tax credit, but our legislative testimony emphasized that a tax credit wouldn’t even begin to address the economic impact of the higher prices we would have had to pay for energy and fuels.

    Another bad idea we helped kill was HB1537, a proposed constitutional amendment that would have allowed the state to levy a property tax “surcharge.”

    In our testimony and in other forums, we pointed out that this proposed tax would not only have usurped county authority, but also added to the financial burden of Hawaii homeowners at the very time our counties were searching for ways to offset soaring property taxes due to increased property valuations.

    Other concerning tax proposals were HB2364SB3053 and HB2629, all of which proposed increasing the state’s conveyance tax, which is applied when realty or interest in realty is sold.

    Two other measures — SB2044 and HB1628 — sought to impose the conveyance tax on transactions in which the controlling interest of a business with real property is transferred.

    Grassroot pointed out that the latter bills were fraught with practical problems, while the former threatened to increase housing costs and discourage adaptive-reuse projects, which is when commercial buildings are sold for conversion into residences.

    Thankfully, none of these bills made it to the governor’s desk.

    Another tax bill that met a well-deserved death was HB2781, which wanted to make permanent the current so-called temporary county surcharges on the state general excise tax.

    As I’ve said many times before, there’s nothing so permanent as a temporary tax. However, even though we can count the failure of this particular bill a win, I suspect we will see this idea introduced again next year. After all, the Honolulu rail, which was the impetus for this tax surcharge in the first place, is still far from being finished and continues to push the city deeper and deeper into a financial black hole.

    Two more tax bills we helped defeat, HB2081 and HB2406, sought to hike our already high taxes on tourists, either by increasing or adding a surcharge to the state transient accommodations tax, which — case in point — itself started out as a temporary tax.

    As we’ve done in the past, we emphasized to our legislators that residents also pay the TAT when they travel within the state or simply enjoy a staycation. We also shared research showing that such taxes decrease visitor spending, which means local businesses and their employees also are penalized by those taxes.

    Other bills that Grassroot successfully advised against on the grounds they would do more harm than good included a paid family leave program, as proposed in SB2474 and HB2757; and a variety of rent control bills, namely SB2762HB2165 and SB2908.

    Finally, we weighed in against the state’s effort to solve its property insurance crisis through tax hikes and a special insurance stabilization fund, as proposed in SB3234 and HB2686.

    We oppose tax hikes in general, but we also were concerned about the how the meausures might have affected the state insurance market, and the Legislature was wise to shelve these bills until more can be learned about their costs, feasibility and effectiveness.

    I assume the intentions behind all these bills were generally good. Some of them sought to fund laudable programs, such as education or infrastructure initiatives. Others were introduced in response to the difficulties being faced by Maui residents in the wake of last year’s devastating wildfires.

    However, it is still important to stop such bills. When Grassroot plays defense, our biggest concern is the effect they will have on the freedom and prosperity of our state.

    We are always looking to find common ground with lawmakers and others to promote a better Hawaii, but our principles remain paramount.
    ___________

    This commentary was Keli‘i Akina’s weekly “President’s Corner” column for May 11, 2024. If you would like to have his columns emailed to you on a regular basis, please call 808-864-1776 or email info@grassrootinstitute.org.

    The Green Affordability Plan Passes

    One of the survivors of the 2024 legislative session has been House Bill 2404, which has been the primary vehicle for Governor Green to advance his so-called “Green Affordability Plan.”

    It passed the Legislature in a form somewhat different from that in which it was introduced, but it is still significant tax reform which, we think, has been long overdue.

    To give you an idea what this bill does, we at the Tax Foundation of Hawaii have prepared some charts comparing tax under current law with tax under the new tax bracket schedules. These charts assume two married taxpayers with two kids, and only the standard deduction.  (People with lots of deductible expenses, such as those with a mortgage, might fare better.)  We calculate tax liability for those with gross incomes from $10,000 to $750,000, in increments of $10,000.

    Also, these charts are presented with gross income on a multiplier scale rather than a linear one, so that moving from one upright gridline on the chart to the next one represents an increase by a factor of four. For example, if you start at the left edge of the chart, the gross income represented is $10,000.  The next upright gray line is at $40,000, and the one after that is $160,000.  This allows us to see more detail of the lower income brackets, where the ALICE (Asset Limited, Income Constrained, Employed) families are.

    Source:  Tax Foundation of Hawaii calculations.

    At the very low end of the income spectrum, the new brackets reduce the income tax by 100%. We think that’s a good thing because the tax system shouldn’t be taxing poor people further into poverty.

    Source:  Tax Foundation of Hawaii calculations.

    As the income gets higher, the percentage reduction in the tax decreases. At the higher end of the income spectrum, the tax decreases by about 25%. Because the tax schedules phase in over time, the amount of tax decrease will move slightly higher from 2025 to 2027 to 2029.

    If, as we expect, this bill is signed into law, it will go into effect this year.  (But the only change this year is a boost to the standard deduction.  The first set of new brackets kicks in at the start of 2025.)  Most of us ordinary people should take a good hard look at our wage withholding. It may be worth a few minutes wrestling with a spreadsheet to figure out if your withholding is too much.

    For most people, the objective should be to maximize take-home pay and not get a huge refund at the end of tax season. This is because any refund, huge or otherwise, was your money that you basically loaned to the government interest-free.  If a change to your withholding is appropriate, fill out a new HW-4 form and give it to your employer.

    With any luck, this tax reform will help restart our economic engine and help make Hawaii a beautiful place to live once again.

    People of Hawaii win big at Capitol

    By Keli‘i Akina

    Yesterday was the last day of Hawaii’s 2024 state legislative session, and what a session it was.

    The best news to come out of it was that our lawmakers passed a major income tax-relief bill, HB2404, which Gov. Josh Green is almost certain to sign because it was part of his much-touted “Green Affordability Plan.”

    In fact, passage of this historic measure is the best legislative news not only of this past week but in all of recent memory.

    Keli’i Akina

    My colleagues and I at the Grassroot Institute of Hawaii have been supporting Gov. Green’s plan for income tax relief since he unveiled it last year. And, of course, we have been recommending tax relief for even longer than that.

    Enactment of HB2404 will help offset the crippling inflation of the past few years; save Hawaii taxpayers billions of dollars in coming years; reposition the state from having one of the highest state income tax rates in the country to one of the lowest; lower Hawaii’s cost of living; fuel economic growth; and reverse or at least slow down the ongoing exodus of Hawaii residents.

    This is an amazing achievement — worthy of national attention — and many people deserve credit for its passage.

    Foremost among them is Gov. Green, who is setting a new direction for relieving the tax burden of Hawaii residents and improving our economy.

    I also want to thank the Legislature’s funding committee chairs, Sen. Donovan Dela Cruz and Rep. Kyle Yamashita, for seeing the economic benefits that this tax cut holds for the future of Hawaii.

    Of course, this isn’t a victory for just the Grassroot Institute, which has worked hard to see that this and other important goals were achieved.

    It’s a victory for all of Hawaii, and especially for “E hana kākou” — working together — to find common ground and make Hawaii a place where we all can thrive and prosper.

    Other big wins we achieved by working together were the passage of housing bills SB3202, which aims to clear regulatory barriers statewide to homeowners wanting to add accessory dwelling units to their properties, and HB2090, dubbed the “adaptive reuse” bill, which could make it easier for homebuilders to convert underutilized office and commercial buildings into residences.

    A national housing group unexpectedly reached out to Grassroot on Thursday to praise these as “solid bills” and the “first major pro-housing reform bills” to be passed by state legislators anywhere in the U.S. this year.

    The first of the two bills, SB3202, was especially challenging to pass. The proposal ran into a fair amount of NIMBY (not in my backyard) opposition. But courageous and tenacious legislators at the Capitol — and the rest of us who were working together to support the bill — held fast, and ultimately it prevailed.

    Our allies on that bill included the Hawaii Appleseed Center for Law and Economic Justice, Hawaii YIMBY, Housing Hawaii’s Future, Hawaii Zoning Atlas, Holomua Collective, AARP, all the Chambers of Commerce, and everyone who signed on to this letter in support of the bill.

    Special thanks are due to House Housing Chair Luke Evslin, House Speaker Scott Saiki, House Judiciary Chair David Tarnas, Senate Housing Chair Stanley Chang, Senate President Ron Kouchi, and even U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz — all of whom were critical to seeing that these bills crossed the finish line.

    Another one of our priorities was passage of SB1035, which aims to exempt private practice doctors and dentists from paying the state general excise tax on care covered by Medicaid, Medicare and TRICARE.

    This issue has been a Grassroot priority for years. In fact, Grassroot issued its first policy brief on this issue back in 2020, then wrote about it again in early 2023.

    Others who deserve tons of credit for the bill’s success are Dr. Scott Grosskreutz and all his colleagues with the Hawaii Physician’s Shortage Crisis Task Force; Dr. Jack Lewin of the State Health Planning and Development Agency; Sens. Lorraine Inouye and Joy San Buenaventura; Senate Ways and Means Chair Donovan Dela Cruz; and House Finance Chair Kyle Yamashita. All of these individuals recognized the importance of this tax exemption, which puts Hawaii in line with every other state in the country.

    I also commend the Legislature for resurrecting last year’s bill on temporary nursing licenses, SB63, as a stopgap approach in lieu of passing a bill that would allow Hawaii to join the official Nurse Licensure Compact. I was disappointed that the compact bill failed, but hope to see it reintroduced next year.

    Recognition for the passing of the temporary licensure bill goes to the Healthcare Association of Hawaii, Queen’s Health System, Hawaii Pacific Health and Kaiser Permanente Hawaii. In addition, both legislative health committee chairs — Sen. Joy San Buenaventura and Rep. Della Au Belatti — were great advocates not only for the temporary license solution but also the compact proposal.

    And last but certainly not least, thank you, my readers, for helping make this year’s Hawaii legislative session so successful. Friends of Grassroot submitted thousands of letters to their legislators in support of good bills and in opposition to bad ones — and if you weren’t sure before, you can know now for certain that your messages do make a difference. I am grateful for your efforts to have your voices heard.

    Looking ahead, my colleagues and I will soon be gearing up for next year’s legislative challenges.

    But today, I simply want to thank all who have worked together so passionately and diligently for a better Hawaii.
    __________

    Keli‘i Akina is president and CEO of the Grassroot Institute of Hawaii.